UN: El Nino weather unlikely in third quarter

El Nino is a warming of ocean surface temperatures associated with crop damage, fires and flash floods.

FILE: A boy digging for roots amid drought. Picture: United Nations.

GENEVA - There is a 25% chance of El Nino weather conditions returning in the third quarter of 2018, but the likelihood of a weak El Nino in the fourth quarter looks about 50/50, the UN World Meteorological Organization said on Thursday.

El Nino is a warming of ocean surface temperatures associated with crop damage, fires and flash floods.

The WMO said a continuation of the current neutral weather conditions was most likely for the coming quarter, with no chance of La Nina, a generally cooling phenomenon.

The last El Nino was linked to a severe drought that hit crop production and economic growth across southern Africa, and the region is still emerging from its effects two years later.