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Dlamini Zuma the leader the ANC needs?

Eyewitness News takes a look at what a Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma victory could mean for South Africa.

FILE: Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma at a cadres assembly in Evaton. Picture: nkosazana.com

JOHANNESBURG - With a little under three weeks to go before the African National Congress (ANC)’s national conference begins, the race for the party’s leadership has boiled down to only two presidential contenders.

Based on branch nominations across the country, Dr Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma and Cyril Ramaphosa appear to be leading the group of seven.

With a range of possible scenarios, Eyewitness News takes a look at what a Dlamini Zuma victory could mean for South Africa.

LISTEN: The Showdown: What does the future hold for ANC, SA if Dlamini Zuma wins?

Those in charge of Dlamini Zuma’s campaign have told Eyewitness News that she is the leader the ANC needs, one that will unite the organisation and lead it to victory in the 2019 general elections.

Political analyst Mcebisi Ndletyana begs to differ.

"If Nkosazana wins, then the damage that the ANC is likely to suffer is quite massive. The clear majority is likely to pull out of the ANC, meaning you’re going to have a split if Nkosazana wins."

Analyst Sipho Seepe does not share Ndletyana’s sentiment.

“The ANC’s position in 2019 will be decided by the extent to which it responds to the people’s concerns.”

Four analysts Eyewitness News spoke to believe that President Jacob Zuma might not be allowed to finish his term even if Dlamini Zuma wins but that his exit would be managed in a gracious manner.

RAMAPHOSA, 'AN ETHICAL LEADER'

This week, EWN examines what a potential Ramaphosa victory might mean for the country.

The CR17 campaign has told EWN it’s not that worried about court challenges should Ramaphosa emerge victorious, saying if the nomination process is clean, there should be no concerns about legal processes.

Three political analysts, including Ndletyana, agree that Ramaphosa’s credibility may save the ANC come 2019.

“He will most likely be able to send a message that the ANC is on the mend.”

Fellow analyst Ralph Mathekga explains what he believes is likely to happen to President Jacob Zuma if Ramaphosa wins.

“He’s going to have to leave but the question is under what conditions will he leave?”

The analysts also warn that even under Ramaphosa presidency, it will be difficult for the ANC to regain lost trust.

They say Dlamini Zuma's supporters may choose to remain in the ANC and fight back instead of leaving the party.

LISTEN to the full series of podcasts here:

(Edited by Leeto Khoza)

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