OPINION: Why Tiger Woods will not win another Major
This is a title that may very well ruffle a few feathers, especially when you consider that I wrote it in 2008 and had it published in a respected South African golf magazine two years after that.
Just so we're all clear of where we are now, its April 2015.
Tiger Woods returned to competitive golf at the holy grail of world golf, the Masters at Augusta after a self-enforced layoff citing poor form and yet another injury. His drop down the world rankings has been nothing short of catastrophic and he now sits at 104 and had to invoke a Masters 2015 berth by virtue of having previously won four Masters titles, the last one a decade ago in 2005.
His return this past week has been so dramatic, it seems almost choreographed and will certainly go hand in hand with amazingly well-timed TV commercials around his every move and appearance, TV interviews and slow motion replay.
But let's start though with things that I am sure we can all probably agree on, if only so that I can clarify my position not as a Tiger-hater (far from it in fact) but more as a Tiger-pragmatist.
He has done more to enthuse players and fans the world over about this game of golf than any other player in the history of the game - a tournament without Tiger versus one where he's playing is almost incomparable in terms of advertisement spend, fan attendance and arguably general excitement (and noise) level.
He single-handedly and emphatically showed the world that this was not a game reserved for the privileged or non-black, interestingly without having to use those actual words.
He deepened the age profile of the playing population and was soon followed by people like Rory McIlroy and Rickie Fowler, and even ladies like Lee-Ann Pace, Azahara Munoz and Paula Creamer - all of a sudden golf was not boring, it was cool and even sexy!
But ever since Woods limped off like a wounded soldier at Torrey Pines in 2008, in the process claiming his 14th major in a playoff win for the US Open, I have held the assertion as stated above, that he will not win another Major.
In that very tournament, where the supposedly ridiculously outmatched Rocco Mediate showed the world just how vulnerable Woods was, he had also started to show the revolt between his body and his game and how his body was finally winning, in a sort of self-preservation reflex.
I'm no doctor but I would venture the opinion that you cannot coil and uncoil your body with such ferocity week in and week out, year in and year out, without something having to give. In June 2008 it was his dodgy left knee that gave out once again.
It had required surgery in 1994, 2002, 2007, twice in 2008 before the US Open and then straight after the Major itself. Six months after the US Open during an enforced layoff, he ruptured his Achilles tendon in his right leg.
Things were just going from bad to worse and subsequent to 2008, Woods had to undergo further surgery on his ailing body, ranging from his knees, his ankles and also his back. This is not the way you build momentum or confidence to winning another Major against an increasingly competitive field of players.
And while we're talking about those players, allow me to present that as the next reason he won't win another Major. Previously he would walk onto the tee-box and almost scare the opposition into submission just by his sheer presence and the crowd noise that would accompany his arrival.
Those days are long gone. Nobody is scared anymore, nobody is going to be psyched out by his presence or his entourage, and none of the pros in the modern game have any doubts of their own game - they are just as hungry and gritty and will take you out with a smile on their face whether your name is Tiger Woods or Tiger van der Merwe!
But probably the main reason he won't win another Major is that his own personal confidence has been massively dented, and Tiger strikes me as the kind of person who feeds off, and even craves, public approval and support.
With this support he's Superman, without it he's a walking bonus point.
He used to be the darling of so many millions of people and businesses around the world and then suddenly his fans looked the other way, his sponsors dropped him like a Louis Oosthuizen albatross, and the players saw the exposed weakness and lined up to be "the next one to beat Tiger".
But it's also almost as if he doesn't believe he can do it himself - I'm going to ignore 2011 where he was T4 at the Masters, didn't play at the US Open or the Open (due to injuries, again!) and missed the cut at the PGA Championship.
In 2012 he played and completed all four Majors and was T3 at the Open as his best performance in Majors up till now, and even at the US Open he seemed to be in with a chance, only to almost waver in his final 36 holes when he ordinarily would have been gearing up to sprint away from the field. He played in two Majors in 2014 - he ended 69th at the Open and was cut at the PGA Championship.
Woods has also shown an increasing level of impatience with his coaches. He has hired and fired Butch Harmon (who won him eight Majors), Hank Haney (six Majors), Sean Foley (0 Majors) and currently Chris Como (0 Majors).
In addition, he's been trying to re-craft his own game and his swing to his style of play while informed observers are wondering about the old adage of "why fix it when it ain't broke…"
Woods turns 40 this year and sure, there are so many people who have won Majors in their late thirties and early forties, just ask Darren Clarke and Ernie Els.
Clarke and Els both spoke about the huge sense of self-belief that propelled them to their Major wins, both at the Open where a settled, wily old head is needed to overcome the course more than the other players. Add to that the other Majors where the younger, hungrier players who used to run to their moms when Tiger arrived now have a steely stare and grip to match.
I'm sorry Tiger, I don't think it's going to happen, I'm worried you won't even make the cut at this year's Masters. But, you'll be amazed how much positive energy you can generate by smiling. Try it! It works and it might win you a major… maybe. Jeremy Harris is the afternoon sports anchor at Kfm and Cape Talk and EWN Sport's specialist golf correspondent. He is a keen golfer and plays off a 5 at his home club, Arabella.
Jeremy Harris is the afternoon sports anchor at Kfm and Cape Talk and EWN Sport's specialist golf correspondent. He is a keen golfer and plays off a 5 at his home club, Arabella.
He is the voice of the Sunshine Tour weekly highlights and monthly magazine programmes on Supersport. You can follow him on twitter @jeremyharris55