[ANALYSIS] In the centre of the ANC’s gravity field - Gwede Mantashe
Stephen Grootes says for 10 years Gwede Mantashe been the man right in the middle of the spectrum of a country where politics goes from nationalist right all the way to Stalinist left.
[ANALYSIS] Dlamini Zuma’s side appears to be feeling the pressure
Stephen Grootes says with the start of the ANC’s leadership conference just days away, signs are emerging that Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma’s backers are feeling the pressure.
[ANALYSIS] ANC leadership race: The fight for every single vote
Stephen Grootes says it is becoming clearer just how tight the race for the ANC’s leadership is going to be.
[ANALYSIS] Road to ANC conference may be ruined by dispute and confusion
Stephen Grootes says the next 3 weeks running up to the ANC conference will be marked by the twin potholes of ‘Confusion’ and ‘Dispute’.
[ANALYSIS] ANC’s new leadership plan, a bold move with little significance
Stephen Grootes says while the ANC is taking baby steps to heal itself, in the longer term it won’t remove the dynamics that got the party into an unenviable position in the first place.
[ANALYSIS] Get Zuma
Stephen Grootes says what is important from Zimbabwe is the lesson it gives in how quickly the political winds can change.
[ANALYSIS] Fighting for ANC’s long-term viability might not be Zuma’s goal
Stephen Grootes says there're questions as to whether the ANC's December conference will reach a clear outcome where one person is elected as leader, and with a clear mandate.
[ANALYSIS] Threats against Pauw’s book signify Zuma’s increasing desperation
Stephen Grootes says as the calendar flicks ever closer to the start of the ANC’s conference, the smell of desperation from all sides is likely to get stronger.
[ANALYSIS] The IFP, AfriForum & the decline of identity politics
Stephen Grootes looks at the type of politics that is about identity, and only identity.
[ANALYSIS] ANC leadership race about political alignments and vested interest
Stephen Grootes says the ANC leadership race is not a contest for the hearts and minds of branches or delegates, but really a competition of organisation.
[OPINION] ANC Leadership Race: Transparency v. Opacity
Stephen Grootes says over the last few days we have received a few datum points that may start to present a picture of how the final outcome of the December conference could be predicted.
[ANALYSIS] Firing Ramaphosa could turn into political suicide for Zuma
Stephen Grootes says we are now at a stage where almost anything, including the removal of Cyril Ramaphosa as Deputy President, can indeed happen.
[ANALYSIS] ANC’s ‘tradition’ vs reality of the brave new world
Stephen Grootes says if there is one thing that unites those who support Cyril Ramaphosa, it is the claim that he should be leader of the ANC because it is ANC “tradition”.
[ANALYSIS] Legal chaos at ANC’s December conference a certainty
Stephen Grootes says the ANC's Eastern Cape conference may well have given us a much more detailed roadmap of the national conference than we were expecting.
[OPINION] ANC leadership race: Mantashe makes his position well known
Stephen Grootes says the ANC leadership contest is turning into a topsy-turvy race in which almost anything could happen.
[ANALYSIS] Sars vs KPMG: A tale of two four-letter words
Stephen Grootes says so deep are the divisions between some of those in government and some of those in the ANC, and so desperate are the attempts to gloss over them, that if your head is spinning, it’s not you, it’s them.
[ANALYSIS] ANC leadership race: Who will decide – delegates, or a judge?
Stephen Grootes says the ANC’s December conference may not end in a clear victory but in what you could call a “disputed outcome”.
[ANALYSIS] Unpredictability rules as Zuma enters the real game of risk
Stephen Grootes says it’s becoming harder to predict what any of the actors in the political game, particularly President Zuma, will do.